Análisis Almagro vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2004 |
FER
2 - 1
ALM
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
ALM
2 - 0
JAN
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
CAI
1 - 4
ALM
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
INS
3 - 1
ALM
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
DEF
3 - 0
GIM
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 may. 2004 |
AND
2 - 0
DEF
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2004 |
DEF
1 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |