Análisis Almagro vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50%
Probabilidad gana
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2012 |
AND
2 - 2
ALM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 4
EST
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 0
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
EST
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 2012 |
ARM
2 - 0
DEF
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
LAM
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |