Análisis Almería B vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
UDS
0 - 0
ALM
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 dic. 2003 |
ALM
0 - 2
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALM
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
UDS
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
47%
29%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 dic. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 1
CAR
26%
28%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
ROC
1 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |