Análisis Almería vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 1
ALM
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 2
FCB
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 may. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALM
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
MUR
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 0
CCF
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |