Análisis Almería vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2022 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALM
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
SDA
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2022 |
BUR
0 - 2
ALM
18%
26%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 0
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2022 |
VAD
2 - 2
ALM
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
UDL
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2022 |
ZAR
0 - 3
ALC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
GIR
17%
25%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
OVI
23%
28%
50%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
ALC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |