Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Análisis Almería vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
HUE
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALM
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 0
CCF
59%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALM
23%
24%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2012 |
RMA
2 - 0
CEL
94%
5%
1%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
SEV
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
GET
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |