Análisis Almería vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
ALM
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2012 |
ALM
4 - 0
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 0
ALM
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
FCB
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 0
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |