Análisis Almería vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2016 |
OSA
0 - 0
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
ZAR
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
CCF
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 4
MIR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2016 |
SMR
0 - 0
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 2
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
HUE
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 2
LUG
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |