Análisis Almería vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 1
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 3
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
ALM
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 abr. 2011 |
VCF
5 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
GET
2 - 4
VCF
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
VCF
0 - 1
SEV
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
ZAR
4 - 0
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2011 |
S04
3 - 1
VCF
39%
28%
34%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |