Análisis Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
56%
26%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 0
IRV
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
SMA
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 jun. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
ALM
64%
24%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 jun. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2011 |
GBR
1 - 1
MER
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 jun. 2011 |
MER
3 - 2
ATT
31%
30%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2011 |
INS
1 - 2
MER
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |