Análisis Almirante Brown vs Tristán Suárez
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALM
19%
28%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
TEM
64%
23%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ARM
0 - 0
ALM
20%
27%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
SUA
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
TEM
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
SUA
3 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |