Análisis Alquerias vs Cieza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1997 |
BFC
1 - 4
ALQ
14%
22%
64%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1997 |
ALQ
0 - 0
BUL
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1997 |
CDB
0 - 0
ALQ
25%
25%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1997 |
ALQ
2 - 0
ORI
22%
27%
52%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 oct. 1997 |
PIN
0 - 0
ALQ
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 1997 |
CIE
2 - 2
IMP
45%
25%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1997 |
AGU
1 - 0
CIE
90%
8%
2%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1997 |
CIE
3 - 0
OLI
37%
27%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 0
CIE
62%
21%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1997 |
CIE
0 - 4
CAR
12%
22%
66%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |