Análisis Aluvión vs Agoncillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALU
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
ALU
2 - 0
LOU
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
AOI
4 - 1
ALU
56%
26%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
CDU
3 - 1
ALU
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2003 |
AGO
1 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
AGO
34%
25%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
AGO
0 - 2
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2003 |
AOI
2 - 1
AGO
51%
27%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2003 |
AGO
1 - 0
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |