Análisis Aluvión vs CD Ilumberri
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.53
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.51
Goles esperados
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+111%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2002 |
ALF
1 - 0
ALU
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
ALU
0 - 1
REC
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 2002 |
SMC
0 - 0
ALU
29%
26%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
ALU
2 - 2
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2002 |
IZA
0 - 3
ALU
50%
24%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 nov. 2002 |
CDI
1 - 3
ALF
11%
19%
70%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2002 |
REC
2 - 0
CDI
81%
14%
5%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2002 |
CDI
2 - 3
SMC
22%
24%
54%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2002 |
ALB
3 - 1
CDI
70%
19%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2002 |
CDI
1 - 1
IZA
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |