Análisis Aluvión vs CD Alfaro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2003 |
REC
2 - 2
ALU
66%
21%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 0
SMC
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 2003 |
ALB
3 - 0
ALU
29%
29%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 mar. 2003 |
ALU
1 - 2
IZA
34%
28%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2003 |
LOU
1 - 2
ALU
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 2003 |
ALF
1 - 0
REC
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2003 |
SMC
0 - 2
ALF
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2003 |
ALF
4 - 0
ALB
80%
14%
6%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2003 |
IZA
2 - 0
ALF
18%
25%
58%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 feb. 2003 |
ALF
1 - 2
LOU
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |