Análisis Aluvión vs Valtierrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 2010 |
LOU
2 - 1
ALU
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2010 |
ALU
0 - 3
PEÑ
15%
22%
64%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 2
ALU
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2010 |
ALU
2 - 1
UDM
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ALU
41%
24%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Valtierrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2010 |
CAV
1 - 2
LOU
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2010 |
PEÑ
7 - 0
CAV
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2010 |
CAV
0 - 0
RIV
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2010 |
UDM
9 - 0
CAV
69%
18%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2010 |
CAV
2 - 1
ZAR
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |