Análisis Aluvión vs Murchante
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-76%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2006 |
LAG
1 - 0
ALU
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2006 |
ALU
1 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
ALU
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
ALU
2 - 1
TUD
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
CHA
3 - 2
ALU
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2006 |
MUR
4 - 1
CDA
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2006 |
AOI
1 - 1
MUR
46%
28%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 1
BUR
37%
28%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
LOU
2 - 0
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 2
IZA
43%
28%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |