Análisis Aluvión vs Murchante
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
55.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 2
IZA
9%
19%
72%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
ALU
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 2
CHA
17%
24%
59%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
ALU
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
ALU
0 - 0
SJU
19%
25%
56%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 1
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2011 |
AOI
2 - 2
MUR
43%
27%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 4
TUD
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
MUR
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 0
OBE
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |