Análisis Aluvión vs Mutilvera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2011 |
ATL
5 - 1
ALU
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2011 |
ALU
3 - 1
AOI
23%
26%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 nov. 2011 |
TUD
7 - 0
ALU
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
ALU
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 1
ALU
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2011 |
UDM
2 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2011 |
UDM
3 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
UDM
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 0
AOI
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2011 |
SJU
2 - 0
UDM
30%
27%
44%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |