Análisis Alvarado vs CAI
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
33.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2014 |
RSA
1 - 0
ALV
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 0
RIV
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2013 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALV
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
CIP
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
CAI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 0
RAO
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2014 |
RSA
2 - 2
CAI
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 feb. 2014 |
CIP
3 - 0
CAI
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 3
DFR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 2
CAI
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |