Análisis Alvarado vs Unión Mar del Plata
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
ALV
71%
20%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 4
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 oct. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALV
86%
11%
4%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 0
ALV
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -3 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
DFR
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Partidos
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
TAL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFE
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 oct. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |