Liga Portuguesa Jor. 11

Análisis FC Alverca vs Benfica

FC Alverca Benfica
66 ELO 84
1.9% Tilt -5.5%
3471º Ranking ELO general 74º
49º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
19.3%
FC Alverca
21.7%
Empate
59%
Benfica

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
19.3%
Probabilidad gana
FC Alverca
1.02
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59%
Probabilidad gana
Benfica
1.95
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC Alverca
+17%
+9%
Benfica

Progresión del ELO

FC Alverca
Benfica
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC Alverca
FC Alverca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 nov. 2003
UDL
União de Leiria
2 - 1
FC Alverca
ALV
63%
21%
16%
68 75 7 0
26 oct. 2003
ALV
FC Alverca
1 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
24%
24%
52%
68 85 17 0
19 oct. 2003
EST
CF Estrela Amadora
0 - 3
FC Alverca
ALV
38%
28%
35%
67 62 5 +1
06 oct. 2003
ALV
FC Alverca
1 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
46%
26%
29%
67 70 3 0
28 sep. 2003
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
0 - 3
FC Alverca
ALV
52%
25%
23%
66 69 3 +1

Partidos

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 nov. 2003
SLB
Benfica
3 - 1
Molde FK
MFK
62%
21%
17%
84 76 8 0
02 nov. 2003
SLB
Benfica
1 - 2
Beira Mar SC
BMA
71%
19%
11%
84 71 13 0
29 oct. 2003
ACA
Académica
1 - 3
Benfica
SLB
19%
22%
59%
84 66 18 0
19 oct. 2003
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Gil Vicente
GFC
76%
17%
8%
84 68 16 0
15 oct. 2003
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
RAA Louvieroise
RAA
77%
16%
8%
84 71 13 0