Análisis Alverna vs MSC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
30.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.33
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.69
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 0
ALV
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ALV
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 1
ALV
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 1
DIE
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 0
ALV
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2016 |
MSC
0 - 2
DIE
71%
15%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2016 |
MSC
2 - 2
JUL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2016 |
ROH
0 - 0
MSC
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 3
MSC
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
MSC
2 - 1
HOL
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |