Análisis Amanecer vs Hernán Cortés
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
AMA
58%
23%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 0
GAR
74%
18%
9%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 3
AMA
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
AMA
2 - 3
CAC
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
AMA
0 - 1
CPC
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ene. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
GAR
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
HER
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
CHI
5 - 3
HER
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
GIM
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |