Análisis Amanecer vs Orellana
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
AMA
35%
25%
40%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
CHI
3 - 2
AMA
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAL
68%
19%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
BRO
1 - 6
AMA
14%
22%
64%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 nov. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
ORE
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
ORE
1 - 2
TAL
40%
25%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 0
ORE
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
ORE
0 - 1
GIM
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
ORE
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |