Análisis América vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 2
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2003 |
CSM
1 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2003 |
RIV
0 - 1
PEÑ
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
COL
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2003 |
FEN
1 - 1
PEÑ
40%
22%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |