Análisis Ancona vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-34%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1951 |
ANC
3 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1951 |
UNI
5 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
BRE
38%
23%
39%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 ene. 1951 |
SIR
3 - 1
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1951 |
MOD
2 - 0
MES
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1951 |
MES
1 - 0
SER
81%
11%
8%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
LIV
56%
20%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 ene. 1951 |
MES
4 - 1
SIR
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 ene. 1951 |
SPA
3 - 1
MES
75%
15%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |