Análisis Ancona vs Parma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.33
Goles esperados
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRE
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 0
ABN
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
ANC
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRI
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 1
ABN
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
PAR
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
CTT
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |