Análisis Aparecida vs Salvadorense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
83.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+71%
+268%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aparecida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 3
APA
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
APA
3 - 2
RAI
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 2015 |
AIR
1 - 3
APA
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
APA
2 - 1
SOA
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 3
APA
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Salvadorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
NEV
7%
14%
78%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
COD
2 - 3
SAL
67%
18%
15%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 3
PGA
24%
22%
54%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
SAL
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
LOU
8%
16%
76%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |