Análisis Aragua FC vs Atlético El Vigía FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.65
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 3
EST
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
DEP
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
ARA
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
YAR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
MIR
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |