Análisis Aravaca vs Coslada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
69.8%
Probabilidad gana
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2015 |
CVI
1 - 1
ARA
39%
27%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
POZ
0 - 2
ARA
24%
23%
52%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
GAL
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARA
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
TRC
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Coslada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 may. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
GAL
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
COS
56%
23%
21%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
COS
4 - 1
TRC
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
LRZ
5 - 0
COS
56%
23%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
PER
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |