Análisis Ariznabarra vs Alegría
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+45%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2009 |
VUL
2 - 2
ARI
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
IZA
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
ARI
3 - 1
SLV
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 0
ARI
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
CDF
45%
25%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Alegría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2009 |
ALE
0 - 2
AUR
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
ADC
2 - 1
ALE
21%
23%
56%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 0
ZAR
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
ELP
2 - 3
ALE
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALE
19%
23%
58%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |