Copa de la Liga 1/16

Análisis Arles vs Caen

Arles Caen
65 ELO 79
-17.8% Tilt 2.5%
22624º Ranking ELO general 1191º
635º Ranking ELO país 29º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
21.1%
Arles
23.9%
Empate
55%
Caen

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.1%
Probabilidad gana
Arles
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55%
Probabilidad gana
Caen
1.71
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Arles
Caen
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Arles
Arles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 sep. 2010
ARL
Arles
0 - 3
Olympique Marseille
MAR
11%
22%
68%
66 89 23 0
11 sep. 2010
PSG
PSG
4 - 0
Arles
ARL
75%
17%
8%
66 84 18 0
28 ago. 2010
ARL
Arles
0 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
21%
27%
52%
67 85 18 -1
21 ago. 2010
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 1
Arles
ARL
62%
24%
14%
67 83 16 0
14 ago. 2010
ARL
Arles
0 - 1
Lens
LEN
21%
28%
51%
67 82 15 0

Partidos

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 sep. 2010
LOR
Lorient
0 - 1
Caen
CAE
51%
25%
25%
78 82 4 0
11 sep. 2010
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 1
Caen
CAE
52%
25%
23%
78 84 6 0
28 ago. 2010
CAE
Caen
0 - 2
Stade Brestois
BRE
58%
25%
17%
78 71 7 0
22 ago. 2010
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 0
Caen
CAE
44%
26%
30%
78 80 2 0
15 ago. 2010
CAE
Caen
3 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
16%
23%
61%
78 90 12 0