Análisis Arles vs Nice II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
ARL
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2015 |
ARL
4 - 1
ORL
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2015 |
TRO
4 - 0
ARL
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 may. 2015 |
ARL
2 - 0
LUS
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2015 |
DIJ
1 - 0
ARL
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
LEP
2 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAY
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 2015 |
LAS
3 - 3
NIC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 0
SÈT
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |