Análisis Arminia Bielefeld vs Homberg
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
87.1%
Probabilidad gana
3.45
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+41%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1964 |
ARB
1 - 0
SHE
80%
12%
8%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
ROT
1 - 3
ARB
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
ARB
6 - 2
WUP
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
AAA
3 - 1
ARB
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
ARB
2 - 2
HAM
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1964 |
VFB
1 - 3
ROT
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
WUP
1 - 0
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
VFB
1 - 0
AAA
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | +1 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
HAM
1 - 0
VFB
82%
11%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1964 |
VFB
0 - 0
EID
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |