Análisis Arosa vs Barbadás
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2011 |
NIG
3 - 2
ARO
24%
22%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
ARO
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
ARO
6 - 1
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARO
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 0
POR
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
PON
4 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |