Análisis Arosa vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
EST
4 - 1
ARO
51%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
ARO
1 - 1
POR
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARO
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 1
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
ARO
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
TOM
0 - 4
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 2
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
ARE
0 - 5
CHO
35%
26%
38%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CHO
3 - 0
RIB
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |