Análisis Arosa vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-51%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2013 |
CUL
2 - 3
ARO
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
ARO
2 - 0
CDL
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 0
ARO
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
ARO
8 - 1
USD
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
UDA
0 - 4
ARO
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
MON
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2013 |
CDA
1 - 1
CHO
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 2
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2013 |
EST
0 - 2
CHO
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 1
CDP
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |