Análisis Arosa vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-36%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
ORD
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
ARO
2 - 1
BER
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARO
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 0
BOI
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
BER
2 - 4
CHO
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 1
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
BOI
1 - 3
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 0
CUL
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |