Análisis Arosa vs Somozas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
SOM
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
ARO
40%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
POL
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2021 |
SOM
0 - 1
ARO
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 jun. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
SOM
56%
23%
20%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2021 |
SOM
1 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 may. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
SOM
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2021 |
SOM
2 - 1
ALO
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2021 |
ARE
5 - 0
SOM
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |