Análisis Arouca vs Benfica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
73%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
ARO
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 6
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 4
VIZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 1
MOR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 dic. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2021 |
SLB
7 - 1
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |