Análisis Arouca vs Penafiel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
ARO
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
COV
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 4
ARO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |