Análisis Arouca vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ARO
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 0
UNM
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
PAÇ
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
SCP
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 2
SIO
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 3
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2016 |
SIO
1 - 2
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |