Análisis Arouca vs União Madeira
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 0
ARO
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
ARO
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 2
AVE
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2012 |
UNM
0 - 3
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
UNM
59%
24%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 2
BEL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
UNM
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |