Análisis Arouca vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57%
Probabilidad gana
1.61
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2021 |
LEX
0 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
EST
22%
26%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 ene. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 0
MAF
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARO
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
CHA
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
VAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
CAS
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |