Análisis Arroyo vs Calamonte
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-58%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2016 |
SNV
0 - 1
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
ARR
5 - 0
SAM
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 4
ARR
7%
18%
75%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 3
CDB
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
ARR
8%
18%
75%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | -1 |
Partidos
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDB
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 2
CAL
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAL
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
AMA
76%
16%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |