Análisis Arroyo vs Deportivo Pacense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.73
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 3
ARR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
CPL
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 3
ARR
18%
23%
59%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 2
ARR
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Deportivo Pacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2011 |
DPC
2 - 1
JER
26%
26%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
MIA
4 - 0
DPC
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
DPC
2 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
DPC
41%
26%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
DPC
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |