Análisis Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.27
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
ARR
13%
21%
66%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 1
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
DPC
1 - 1
ARR
17%
21%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
COR
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
CPL
2 - 1
ARR
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -2 |
Partidos
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 mar. 2012 |
CDZ
1 - 0
JER
48%
25%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
MIA
0 - 2
CDZ
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
CDZ
4 - 3
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
CDZ
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 1
PLA
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |