Análisis Arroyo vs Estrella
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-60%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2004 |
MER
6 - 0
ARR
73%
20%
7%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
ARR
1 - 2
SPV
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
ARR
3 - 0
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARR
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
SAM
33%
29%
38%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
IMP
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
CER
16%
26%
59%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |