Análisis Arroyo vs Valdelacalzada
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.39
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-61%
-33%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
ARR
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
VAL
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
EXT
0 - 0
ARR
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
DBN
73%
19%
9%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
ARR
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Valdelacalzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
CDB
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 0
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 2
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |